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Trading)VPA, Trading Volume: The Only Window for Retail Investors to Peek Inside the Market (Chapter 2)

  Volume is the only tool retail traders have to peek inside the market. While price alone doesn’t reveal the true strength of a move, volume helps assess whether a price increase or decrease is sustainable. By analyzing volume, traders can better understand market trends and spot when smart money is entering or leaving, providing a crucial edge in decision-making. Why Volume? The chapter opens with a quote from Warren Buffett: “The key is having more information than the other guy – then analyzing it right and using it rationally.” To illustrate how markets work, the author shares a fictional story: The Parable of Uncle Joe . Uncle Joe’s Story Uncle Joe runs a government-licensed company that is the only supplier of a product called widgets. Though the product has real value and doesn't degrade, business is boring—sales are slow, and profits are small. To boost sales, Uncle Joe spreads a subtle rumor through a gossiping neighbor: widgets might soon be in short supply. As expected...
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Trading) VPA, Why volume is important? (chapter 1)

  In VPA (Volume Price Analysis), it says that by analyzing price and volume, you can accurately understand the market’s direction. If price goes up with an increase in volume, it’s a strong signal that buying pressure is high. On the other hand, if volume decreases while price rises, it could mean someone is trying to dump their positions at the top. The classic principles from Jesse Livermore and Wyckoff are still valid today, and the author, Anna Coulling , shows that markets are ultimately driven by human emotions. 🧠 1. There's Nothing New — Human Psychology Remains the Same “There is nothing new under the sun” — Ecclesiastes 1:9 The market seems to change, but the fundamentals stay the same . People’s emotions like greed, fear, hope, and regret have always created repeating patterns in the market. No matter how many new technologies, like AI or algorithms, come out, the driving force behind the market is human emotions . 📖 2. Reminiscences of a Stock Ope...

Crypto Journalist You Should Follow

  These people help to improve insight into the crypto market. https://twitter.com/Kr00ney (CNBC) https://twitter.com/itstaylorlocke (Fortune) https://twitter.com/Ryan_Browne_ (CNBC) https://twitter.com/AnitaRamaswamy (Tech Crunch) https://twitter.com/benpimentel (Protocol) https://twitter.com/MsHannahMurphy (Financial Times) https://twitter.com/hgmiller29 (Bloomberg) https://twitter.com/JeffKauflin (Forbes) 💎  Tips for earning $15000 in May alone through arbitrage  💎   Aoa's advice on how to turn $5,000 into $100,000,000 💎  Typical Manipulation Scenario of Smart Money in Crypto  

A very easy explanation for quantitative easing and quantitative tightening

The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States. The central bank issues money. So the Fed prints dollars. An institution that can print money won't invest in bonds to make money. The Fed's purpose of buying or selling bonds is to control the amount of currency. The central bank can issue money, but you can't give it away to anyone. It's a crime if the central bank just prints the money and distributes it on the street. So when it increases the volume of money, it uses a specific method, which is bond buying. Mainly government bonds. The central bank buys bonds = The central bank gives money to the private sector and the bonds return to the central bank. The central bank is an independent agency. The government can use fiscal policy through tax returns and bond issuance, and it cannot intervene in central bank monetary policy. The government borrows money by selling treasury bonds to the central bank for fiscal policy. The central bank doesn't keep the ...

Big event to impact near future asset markets: Fed's balance sheet shrinkage

One of the Fed's QT measures, the reduction of the balance sheet, is one of the best events in the second half of 2022 along with the midterm elections. QT is expected to accelerate to $95 billion per month, and the Fed's QT size will double from September, so from September, it will fall below the monthly limit of QT and we see the T-bill repaid for the first time. Since the beginning of the 2020 rise was caused by 1) lowering the basemoney interest rate to zero interest rate (0.00-0.25%) after the COVID-19 pandemic, and 2) increasing the assets held by the purchase of government bonds and MBS to about $9 trillion (about 1.000 trillion won), providing huge liquidity to the market, f ed implements quantitative austerity (QT) to curb inflation triggered by rising markets! It has already started QT worth $47.5 billion (approximately $64.65 trillion) every month, including $30 billion in government bonds and $17.5 billion in MBS, but t he fed's announcement that it will double...

アーサー·ヘイズのeth mergeに関する意見

 1.「eth merge」イベントがまもなくやってくる。 2。グーグルのイーサ検索量とイーサ価格の相関関係は0.77水準で非常に意味がある。 イーサに対する関心はトークンの価格に応じて上昇/下落し、価格が上昇するにつれ、より多くの人がイーサについて聞き、購入して使用することを望み、価格上昇をフォーミュラ形態に導く。 3。次のシナリオがある。 1) マージ成功  - 取引者は価格が高いほどより多くのネットワーク使用、より高いデフレ率を予測し、イーダを持続的に購入する。     価格上昇の好循環構造、高点はすべての人類がイーサウォレットアドレスを持っている時です。 2) マージ失敗  - 価格/デフレ率の間に否定的な関係が発生、取引者がショートしたり、イーサ未保有の選択 イーサーは現在、遠くない非常に大きな時価総額を記録している。 それに伴う開発者数やダブは依然変わっていない。 したがって、イーダはルナ崩壊/3AC破産時に記録した800$底点より低くならないと考える。 4.市長の意見  1) マージが成功するか失敗するかに対する市場の現在の状況だ。   2) ETH/BTCのパフォーマンスは最近すごかった。 市場は、最後の成功を高い可能性と予想していることを意味する。   3) 2.は現物市場の意見に過ぎない。 派生商品/オプションはどうか? 4) バックワーデーション=ギフト価格<現物価格:割引価格のギフト取引     コンタンゴ=ギフト>現物:プレミアムで先物取引 23年6月物まで全体曲線がバックワーデーション取引が行われている。 これはまもなく先物市場が満期日までにイーサ価格が現在の現物価格より低いと予測するということだ。 OI(未決済約定)も同様に、底点以降継続ATHを更新しており、バックワーデーション現象も同様である。 5.現在の売り圧力に対する二つの潜在的な理由  1) イーサ現物買収はしたものの、マージへの確信がないため、現物より高い先物契約価格を販売することでヘッジ  2) マージが発生すると予想し、無料配布されるETHW(POW)を得ることを望む。 ただ、イーサ価格の変動についてはヘッジしたい。  - したがって...

Typical Manipulation Scenario of Smart Money in Crypto

  This is about smart money movements on short-term correction. 1. Short after transferring stable coins to the futures exchange  2. Dumping BTC on spot exchange 3. Remittance of stable coins to the spot exchange (for BTC purchase) 4. Additional dumping of BTC on spot exchange to price range where long is concentrated (long margin call trial) 5. Buy BTC with the stable coin that they remitted to the spot exchange on 3rd 💎  Tips for earning $15000 in May alone through arbitrage  💎  Aoa's remarkable earrings of a competition on Binance 💎  Who is aoa on Bitmex? 💎   Aoa's advice on how to turn $5,000 into $100,000,000 👏 Cex exchanges    Binance  / Bybit  /   Huobi  / Okex  /   Gate.io  /  MEXC